衆神的黃昏:企業架構最大和最後的戰場

{"type":"doc","content":[{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"“衆神的黃昏”這個詞筆者第一次聽說是來自於一部動漫:《銀河英雄傳說》,其中的帝國皇帝萊茵哈特實在受不了同盟軍的“魔術師”楊威利持續地擊敗自己手下愛將,準備親自出馬決一死戰,戰役代號就是“衆神的黃昏”,意思就是,來吧,打完這把就拉倒。所以,筆者在這裏只是取最後一戰之意,讀者不必去搞對號入座,認爲是哪個方法論走到頭兒了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"爲啥會是最後的大戰呢?以後不搞企架了?應該不是,只是這一戰會把整體設計思想深入人心,也會完善業務和技術的深度融合機制,所以,以後企架就不是一個掛在嘴上的東西了,或者說沒必要再掛在嘴上了。最近看了一篇譯文《"},{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https:\/\/t.cj.sina.com.cn\/articles\/view\/1798777247\/6b37299f01902a6l0","title":"xxx","type":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"敏捷20週年:一場失敗的起義"}]},{"type":"text","text":"》,確實巧了,筆者也打算寫一篇類似觀點的,不過時間上搞不定了,人家也先寫了,還是把原計劃的、風格也相近的企架這篇先寫了再說吧。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"這最後一戰怎麼來的呢?當然得有最大的風口才行,這風口之前沒有,現在有了。有了這個風口,一定能把企業架構從單個企業刮出去,刮成行業級的,而且是生態互聯的。不過,到了這個份兒上,成天再念叨企業架構似乎也沒啥必要了,就像開車不用成天唸叨紅燈停綠燈行一樣。當然,這是後話,不是現在。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"現在先看看這大風口的一些特點吧,怎麼着就能把企業架構給推上去了?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"align":null,"level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"一、 數字化轉型會是什麼樣"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"大家可以從以下幾個點分別想想看。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"1、  國家政策的推動"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"筆者多次說過,這次數字化不是廠商炒作,是國家轉變經濟增長方式,實現高質量增長需要的新“理念”,而不是炒“概念”,現在大凡要思考數字化是啥,先去讀《"},{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https:\/\/sghexport.shobserver.com\/html\/baijiahao\/2021\/03\/13\/382173.html","title":"xxx","type":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"綱要"}]},{"type":"text","text":"》第五篇第一段,那就是數字化的意義,是數字化轉型的目標和任務,其他一切解釋都應該建立在這個基礎之上,這纔是引導社會形成數字化轉型合力的姿勢,沒必要單獨去創建太多的理解了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"第五篇也全面闡述了數字化的具體建設方向,如果想自己理解數字化未來鑄就的社會環境,那沒有什麼比多讀讀《綱要》更有價值了,因爲這都是要落地的政策,自己家的數字化思路也需要對號入座。這個大方向決定,數字化風口,不虛。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"那這個跟企業架構有什麼關係?因爲需要《綱要》強調要“堅持系統觀念”,要有頂層設計,要“全國一盤棋”,這種思路會從中央貫徹到地方,從央企蔓延到民企,其影響,會從社會伸展到個人,數字社會、數字家庭,是生產、生活、治理方式的全面變革。整體轉型也是《綱要》提到的。所以,悶頭搞數字化,缺乏全局觀,容易打偏。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"基礎設施已經在立了,“東數西算”,“數網”、“數腦”、“數紐”、“數鏈”、“數盾”,這都是國家層面的思路,比企業想的更大、更全,當然,也只有國家力量做得到,而國家力量一旦做到了,環境就全變了,搞數字化的姿勢和前提都變了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"這就是大風口的力量,要求你必須有更寬的視野、更大的格局,也要有很好的思維模式支持你,比如,架構思維。架構思維也不復雜,結構、關係、原則(或者說規律),事不過三,全局視角下考慮這三樣東西,就算架構思維了,當然,你願意複雜點兒繼續拓展也成,只要不把自己繞暈了就行。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"2、  地方政策的推動"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"國家、部委、行協都有十四五規劃的政策出臺,地方政府當然也會積極制定,去年各省的綱要就都出臺了,今年則是陸續出的詳細規劃,比如浙江、廣東、上海的政策都出的很快,而且持續有新政策出來,廣州市還在試行地方政府的首席信息官制度。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"有些政策有一定的前瞻性,爲數字化制定些行業標準或者統一術語,比如浙江的公共數據分類分級指南、數字化改革術語定義等。這方面一直是行業上比較痛苦的點,數據的標準、共享的方法、合作的模式等,都需要有指導力的參與者制定政策。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"如今,這些地方政府都開始行動起來了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"3、  企業自身的需要"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數字化這事兒也不是隻有國家着急,企業其實也一樣,那麼多年信息化下來,走得快的,攢了成百上千的系統,無論你當時是怎麼想的,現在都是需要打通的時候了,筆者自己在銀行業的經驗,觀察到的保險、證券、製造業、醫療行業、零售業的現狀,都是如此,系統攢多了都有麻煩要處理,大企業的舊系統改造也到了不得不做時候。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"中小企業的效能提升也離不開信息化、數字化,系統建的晚的,技術債少點兒,建的早的就多點兒,無論你是否理解了數字化,自己家系統那點兒事,早晚還是要處理,用啥方式處理呢?無論大企業、小企業,是不是都跟着數字化的方向走,也試試“一盤棋”?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"當然,企業架構不是一定要天翻地覆的做,儘管這樣效果最明顯,但是按照TOGAF它老人家那不太有“節操”的底線,涉及兩個系統以上就可以適用企業架構方法。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"4、  連接的持續發展"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"移動互聯網打開了“連接”的潘多拉盒子,搞的現在無處不場景,都在對着場景說話,也不管場景是不是你家的,反正都知道基於場景的連接非常重要,得搶,不過理智些的還是搞共建。連接發展到極致就是完整的生態互聯,大小生物羣落,你活你的,我活我的,其樂融融。這裏邊可以有自頂向下的設計,也可以有自底向上的生長,不過,別那麼單純,做成的,從來就沒有隻走一條路的。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"連接體現的是商業利益,但越來越基於平臺化的技術性連接,喝酒依然能喝來業務,但是技術接不上還是有可能白喝,或者說,技術接得上纔有喝的機會。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"互聯網商業平臺上已經承載了太多人的一生,這些人互相很陌生,但又連接很緊。數字化的未來會給這些人更多的見“面”機會,當然,可能都是虛擬的“假面”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"5、  數據價值的提升"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數據很值錢,雖然算不好。數據估值將成爲新興行業,因爲現在連過得硬的方法都還沒有,所以,一定會成爲新興行業。數據的估值跟傳統資產可能真的不太一樣,現在的方法,多數還是基於傳統資產的估值套路。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數據是很不均質的,這與礦產資源區別很大,礦產資源同等級的可以同價,數據是相同質量的同價還是相同知識密度的同價?數據很難按照採入成本計價,因爲不同質量的數據採入成本可能差不多,而且採入設備一經建立,按數據量計算的單位成本會被稀釋很快,這些設備也不能簡單看做數字資產的專用設備。而且,數據的銷售是可以不具排他性的,邊際成本極低。不同類型數據價值退化速度也不一樣。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"只有非常單純的數據公司纔有可能這麼考慮計價,但是這類公司以後如何存續還不大好說。對於非數據類公司,還是將其轉向市場定價,按照營業外收入來考慮比較輕鬆些,賺多少都是賺,如果發現了資產的稀缺性,再搞個溢價。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"不過,既然有錢可賺,那好好整理整理數據質量還是有用的,畢竟你自己也得用有質量的數據不是?這也有企架的機會在,因爲單搞數據有意思嗎?折騰都折騰了,還不如流程和數據一起折騰。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"6、  觀念的成熟:對效能的關注"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"這輪數字化正在努力將長期視角、全局觀念推廣下去,因爲速度和規模不再是未來增長的關鍵,儘管依然重要,但是更重要的是質量,是獨立性。這兩個需要時間,目前兩個聊的多的兩個百億級轉型工程,建行6年半,美的10年,還有西門子搞了10幾年的軟件轉型。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"開頭兒說到了那篇聊敏捷的文章,其實文中意思挺鮮明,敏捷已經深入人心了,關鍵在效能的提升,也是要靠慢工養出敏捷能力,這不是某個sprint、一場scrum可以解決的,devops、ci\/cd乃至需求管理工具、代碼審查工具、測試環境建設,一整套的平臺化體系,支撐着表面上的敏捷,也許這就是快速的小瀑布,其實無所謂,門派不重要,效能重要。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數字化需要更多軟件,不關注效能,還談啥數字化,數字化對業務的一大支撐不是也源自效能嗎?效能除了平臺之外,還來自於清晰的架構資產定義和儘可能拼出架構視圖,所以,這裏邊也有對企架的需求。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"align":null,"level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"二、 數字化空間在哪裏"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數字孿生越來越火,概念越來越泛化,筆者比較早的把它用在了金融領域,但是筆者也挺負責任地說過那是未來10幾年的事情,不是今天的。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"1、  雲上終於要有家了"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"最大的數字化空間只能在雲上,層層疊疊的公有云、行業雲、團隊雲,搭上私有云,一派混合雲的世界,小時候我們聽的故事終於要成真了,雲上以後是能住着老神仙,這些老神仙就是我們這些凡夫俗子的“分身”。雲上有家,也必然有工作單位,除了遊戲之家,協同辦公越來越多,居家辦公也開始逐漸增多,以後,租辦公室的公司,可能真的是很“想不開”的。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"企業的一部分已經長在雲上了,而以後,企業的管理部分將完全搬到雲上,雲上的企業應該是可以構件化搭建的,追求後臺流程的特殊化、定製化,也會逐漸成爲“想不開”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"你會覺得這些今天都有了,沒啥新奇的,是的,但是量變還沒到質變,想想如果大部分企業都上雲了,會是個什麼效果?你可能會覺得,沒必要吧?這就是環境變化的力量,上雲的企業越多,雲就越成爲必要的生意場所,因爲上邊老神仙越來越多,想見老神仙嗎?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"2、  爲什麼VR、AR一點都不虛"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"雲上要是有家了,那體驗也不能太差啊,所以,VR、AR必須有,“鼓勵城區內的數據中心作爲算力“邊緣”端,優先滿足金融市場高頻交易、"},{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"虛擬現實\/增強現實(VR\/AR)"},{"type":"text","text":"”,連國家政策裏都有這麼一句,還是七大人工智能行業之一吧。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"無論是防疫還是雙碳,VR、AR都能做出極大貢獻,不信自己腦補下。社交軟件公司心裏最清楚到底誰有能力革自己的命,知道什麼是降維打擊,所以,他們對這塊都很用心。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"3、  元宇宙要來了?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"元宇宙最近又被Facebook帶火了一把,Facebook很擅長帶“火”,一個Libra把虛擬貨幣推上了風口浪尖,如今火不旺了,又燒起了元宇宙。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"筆者對元宇宙沒研究過那麼多,不過作爲一個還算可以的老資格二次元動漫迷,向來不在意劇情的科幻喫瓜羣衆,接受平行宇宙啥的都不算事兒。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"但是,作爲本文中出現的技術名詞,筆者覺得比目前思考的數字化還是遠上幾條街,筆者在講解數字化進程時,最後一個階段說的是高級數字化,25-30年之後,元宇宙應該比那個再遠些,也許概念可以來的早些。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"不過我很贊同朱嘉明老師講的,有些面向未來的制度是可以先想想的,當然,在初級數字化階段再想也來得及,畢竟數字化要有個端倪才能輪到這個概念真的走向現實。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"4、  還不相信新時代?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"新時代沒啥好懷疑的,看看《綱要》第五篇第一段第一句,“迎接數字時代”,其實從十九大報告開始,很多理論都是建立在“新時代”的論斷上。全面變革,迎來的不是新時代是啥呢?很多企業的改革如果出現波折或者失敗,很可能正是源自於沒有從心裏相信這是個新時代。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"如同《重整變革》一書中所言,“任何變革都會給個人和組織帶來不適應和不確定性,如果人們從心裏拒絕變革,任何流程改革、技術改革都將失敗”,相信時代、迎接改變,畢竟願不願意,我們每天都只能生活在努力改變之中。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"align":null,"level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"三、 數字化空間怎麼打造"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"那數字化空間要怎麼打造呢?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"1、  行業級SaaS是前奏"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"基礎設施的心我們不操了,國家和大企業會把新基建做好,我們需要更多關注應用層面,那麼,搞了多年還很艱難的SaaS行業要迎來春天了嗎?至少筆者是這樣認爲的,而且是個多層次、立體豐富的SaaS生態。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"SaaS行業要迎來春天的原因是未來要提高效能,我們就必需要有行業級的SaaS應用模式,才能讓更多的企業在雲上可以成爲方便擴展的構件化企業。應用不好,雲的吸引力就不大,應用更新慢,雲就可能從助力演化成阻力。雲的戰爭就是ToB之戰,而ToB之戰就是業務解讀、生態構建之戰,這場戰爭,其實才剛開始打,不過,這注定是一場有序之爭,而非完全放開的亂戰。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"好的SaaS似乎都是攢出來的,一些SaaS企業的實踐證明一開始就搭建個完整的行業級SaaS很不現實,要一個模塊一個模塊地攢出來纔有可能,但是這個攢的過程其實需要合適的企業架構方法論作爲指導,幫助逐步形成行業級SaaS,或者作爲拼圖的指導,不能自己家做的模塊互相都搭接不上。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"行業級SaaS其實還有很多標準化問題要考慮,這不僅是SaaS企業的事情,也是政府、行協的事情,是個共建的過程,是全力支持SaaS企業的時候了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"2、  生態化構建是模式"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"行業級SaaS如果能成爲前奏,接下來的就可以是生態化構建了,既包括企業的需要構件要生態化從雲上獲取,也包括企業間聯合設計架構,這是生態連接的更好手段。也是行業級標準化可以更好發揮作用的地方,處於主導地位的平臺、SaaS廠商一定要在國家的支持下推動這樣的進程,這將是廣大“IT農民工”的福音。與之相伴,企業架構的實施模式也應該會發生變化。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"3、  新技術還要等"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數字化技術中比較重要的數字人類、數據交易技術、數字身份、數字孿生還有一段路要走,要關注,也要等,量子計算機算是下一代“大機”,它成熟了,可能又會帶來一波一波的變化。畢竟,所有基礎條件中,算力還是最關鍵的。就算算法變化不大,算力變,也能搞出大事情。不過誰又能說未來二十年,一定不出新算法,新算法加上新算力,估計退休也沒商量了,跟不上了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"該來的終究會來,也許會遲到,但不會不到。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"align":null,"level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"四、 企業架構如何演變爲聚合架構"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"這幾年企業架構領域似乎沒啥特殊變化,好不容易迎來了春天,要不要發個小芽呢?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"1、  企業架構是不是要演化下了"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"不評論別人家的理論了,如果讀者關注過,應該也知道,最近沒有啥這方面的明顯動靜。但是我們依然需要理論跟着時代走的,企業架構好不容易跟着數字化熱鬧起來了,不是該想着怎麼處理下之前還有不足的地方嗎?比如,業務架構怎麼跟應用架構銜接的更緊密些?自上而下和自下而上能不能揉到一起?數據和流程還要分開處理嗎?新的技術模式一點兒都不會不反作用到業務架構設計上嗎?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"2、  未必需要徹頭徹尾,我們還沒學會突變"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"改進空間總是有的,缺陷就像海綿裏的窟窿,撕開一層,裏邊還有。所以,也未必需要把方法論打塌了重構,吸收和改良本來就是方法論改進的有效手段,把Zachman、TOGAF、DoDAF、DDD、中臺的優點都吸收下,以之前筆者主張的EBA爲基礎,可以嘗試做個整合,把以往發散了的方法論收束下,建立一個面向數字化生態的、基於構件思想的“聚合架構”方法論,作爲大家今後研究方法論的“墊腳石”。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"基因突變的方法論暫時還很難出現,因爲,我們需要更多行業級應用實踐來推動方法論創新,但是沒有這樣的實踐機會是很難有合適的創新產生的。所以,企業不是總想培養人嗎,那你得先敢做事,做不一樣的事情,才能培養不一樣的人。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"3、  改變重在業務,你信不信?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"新企業架構方法論改良的不僅是個架構方法、工程方法,重要的改進在業務側,是業務側主動、深入地投入到業務架構設計中,這是企業數字化轉型的關鍵,是對業務人員結構化思維的培養。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"離了對業務人員的思維改變,我們將永遠喊啥缺啥。喊大數據應用,缺數據人才;喊金融科技、人工智能,缺業務和技術複合型人才;喊數字化轉型,又缺數字化人才,缺的還是複合型的。這隻能說明我們的培養體系有問題,業務人員難道不是傳統行業做數字化轉型最大的人才寶庫嗎?難道大家不是業務人員遠多於技術人員嗎?那不挖掘這個資源,不是捨近求遠、不解決根本問題嗎?"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"技術人員是要增加的,不增加沒有足夠的技術力量,但是隻增加技術人員,不轉變業務人員,那就沒有什麼槓桿作用了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"4、  這是以企架之名最後的大戰"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"如果以企架方式推動行業SaaS成熟、生態化構建興起之後,企業架構自然成了開放式聚合架構,成爲了一種成熟的軟件構建思維模式和組織方式,也許,之後不用再總是講什麼是企業架構了,你做的就是。就跟敏捷一樣,平臺體系建立好了,思想意識到位了,也就不用總去分個門派,持續提高效能就是敏捷了。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"heading","attrs":{"align":null,"level":2},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"衆神的黃昏:融入思維的企業架構"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":" "}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"企業架構本就是一種分析方法,如果它滲入了你的思維中,那你趕也趕不走,你會自然而然地用全面、結構、靈活、演進四個準則指導你的每次設計活動,指導企業的每次軟件實施,反之,當你缺少上面準則中的某一個時,你都會懷疑企架的合理性、可行性,因爲離開了這其中的任何一個,企架能帶給你的幫助都有限,但是,少了上面中的任何一個,其它方法能帶給你的幫助也有限,所以,你終究會回到這四個準則上來,那時,將唯有黃昏中的一輪紅日,無需再爭辯什麼。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null}},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"作者簡介"},{"type":"text","text":":"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","marks":[{"type":"strong"}],"text":"付曉巖"},{"type":"text","text":",IBM 副合夥人,極客時間《說透數字化轉型》專欄作者,全球企業諮詢服務部大中華區金融核心銳變團隊業務發展和交付總監,機械工業出版社《銀行數字化轉型》和《企業級業務架構設計:方法論與實踐》作者。"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null}},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"延伸閱讀:"}]},{"type":"paragraph","attrs":{"indent":0,"number":0,"align":null,"origin":null},"content":[{"type":"link","attrs":{"href":"https:\/\/www.infoq.cn\/article\/6Ncm4WEIqdZFi07H0hDA","title":"xxx","type":null},"content":[{"type":"text","text":"數字化轉型迷思"}]}]}]}
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